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The prediction, in brief:

There is nothing natural about taking 18-year-olds out of the world for three years into the cloistered halls of academia; there is nothing in the nature of history or physics or economics or whatever else, as disciplines, that determines that they can be neatly bounded and bundled up in three-year packages … with new technologies relentlessly redefining the way we work and live, it may not merely be an anachronism to continue to embrace the model of the traditional residential university as the primary locus of learning – it may arguably be an impediment to appropriate learning and ultimately a threat to growth, both economic and personal.

Predictor: Hutchison, Chris

Prediction, in context:

In a 1995 article, “The ‘ICP OnLine’: Jeux sans fronti聫res on the CyberCampus,” from the Journal of Computer-Mediated Communication, Chris Hutchison of the School of Information Systems, Kingston University, discusses education online. He writes:脪Education is entering a new era. The school, college, and university, as physical locations for the dissemination of knowledge and the support of learning, are a product of the now waning print culture, the ‘Gutenberg galaxy.’ There is, after all, nothing natural about the residential university; there is nothing natural about taking 18-year-olds out of the world for three years into the cloistered halls of academia; there is nothing in the nature of history or physics or economics or whatever else, as disciplines, that determines that they can be neatly bounded and bundled up in three-year packages … with new technologies relentlessly redefining the way we work and live, it may not merely be an anachronism to continue to embrace the model of the traditional residential university as the primary locus of learning – it may arguably be an impediment to appropriate learning and ultimately a threat to growth, both economic and personal.脫

Date of prediction: January 1, 1995

Topic of prediction: Getting, Sharing Information

Subtopic: E-learning

Name of publication: Journal of Computer-Mediated Communication

Title, headline, chapter name: The ‘ICP OnLine’: Jeux sans fronti聫res on the CyberCampus

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
www.ascusc.org/jcmc/vol1/issue1/hutchison/CHRISR.html

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Guarino, Jennifer Anne